Sunday 7 June 2015

The Winds of Change

Article by Rob Newell
 
If any one NFL team could tell you about change this off-season then it would most certainly be the San Francisco 49ers.  The pace of change in this organisation is quite frankly frightening, and I feel certain that even the most ardent of 49ers would struggle to convince you that we are talking about change for the better.
 

This team has seen a new stadium, new head coach, and a playing Roster that as of right now is almost unrecognisable from the one that just lost the Super Bowl just a few seasons ago.  In fact you could almost semi seriously suggest that the next change should be to change the team name to the Santa Clara Revolution.  If it were possible all those Busts in the Hall of Fame of 49ers greats must be spinning at what is happening.

And yet despite all evidence to the contrary, I just don’t seem able to completely write them off just yet.  They may well finish at the bottom of the West this season, but I have a strong sense that this team will not be the train wreck that many are pointing too.  I believe that Jim Tomsula is a players coach, and what we will see this year is a strong case of a team exceeding the sum of its parts.

Other change blowing through the NFL right now is the looming presence of the City of Angels.  With every passing story it seems ever more likely that Los Angeles will be the home city of at least one franchise come the 2016 season.  Of the teams involved, San Diego Chargers, Oakland Raiders and St Louis Rams, the commitment of the current home city would suggest that it (in NFL parlance) is more probable than not, that it will come down to the Chargers and Raiders.  If this is the case then f course there are still repercussions for the NFC West.  The League do not allow two teams sharing the same stadium to play within the same division, so if Chargers and Raiders do take possession of the Carson area stadium, divisions are going to be redrawn, with the most likely outcome of the Rams moving to the AFC and one of the Chargers / Raiders moving to the NFC, my gut tells me that the NFL would prefer the Raiders move over in this eventually.  Time will tell, another Owners meeting has been scheduled for August to specifically review the LA position, so maybe more news will come then.

In the meantime, we are now deeply entrenched in the  Pay The Man calendar spot.  The latest big name to sign a multi million $ deal is Carolina Panthers QB Cam Newton.  Newton of course does have significant skills but so far has only managed one playoff win in his career.  In the meantime the NFL awaits potential new contracts for Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson.  There are already rumours of Wilson’s deal being fully guaranteed, something Seattle have tried to deny, but for a QB coming off two Super Bowl appearances this will be a large payday. 
 

However, this begs the question, when do these large QB mega contracts start to actually hurt the team.  In all those years in Indianapolis Peyton Manning for example was given every possible resource for his Offence to succeed, often at the expense of the defence.  Would a more balanced approach have seen the Colts win more than the one Lombardi Trophy Manning did deliver.  The salary cap may be expanding these last few years, but each year there will be a cap figure, the more you pay a QB, the less you can the other players.  If Russell Wilson suddenly moves from the $1.5million his initial contract allowed to closer to $20million (which would be Aaron Rodgers, Ben Roethlisberger type money) how many Marshawn Lynch, Jimmy Graham, Richard Sherman, Earl Thomas can you keep?  I guess if Seattle get back to the Super Bowl as many predict then it would be a great problem to have.

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